:Product: 0115RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Jan 15 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 015 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jan 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity continued very low. Region 1010 (N18W46) remains a spotless plage. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (16 - 18 January). III. Event Probabilities 16 Jan-18 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 15 Jan 071 Predicted 16 Jan-18 Jan 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 15 Jan 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jan 006/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jan 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jan-18 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jan-18 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 01/01/01 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01