:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Feb 22 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 053 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Feb 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.  The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  Solar wind
observations show a continued influence from the recurrent coronal
hole.  Velocities have ranged between 430 to 490 km/s with
interplanetary Bz between -3/+5 nT.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (23-25
February).
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Feb-25 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Feb 070
Predicted   23 Feb-25 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        22 Feb 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Feb  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Feb  004/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Feb-25 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01