:Product: 0414RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Apr 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 104 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Apr 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.  The solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for 15-16 April.  Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for 17 April due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Apr 069
Predicted   15 Apr-17 Apr  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        14 Apr 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Apr  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Apr  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01