:Product: 0511RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 131 Issued at 2200Z on 11 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No spots and no flares
were observed on the visible disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance of an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet for the forecast period (12-14 May).
III.  Event Probabilities 12 May-14 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 May 072
Predicted   12 May-14 May  072/073/073
90 Day Mean        11 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 May  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 May-14 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 May-14 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01