:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Nov 13 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 317 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N23W105) rotated off the visible disk. No flares were
observed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low to low for the next 3 days (14-16 November) due to old
Region 1029 rotating back on the visible disk.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for the next two days (14-15
November). Day three (16 November) is expected to be mostly quiet
with a slight chance of an unsettled period due to a weak coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Nov 074
Predicted   14 Nov-16 Nov  074/075/075
90 Day Mean        13 Nov 071
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Nov  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Nov  001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01