:Product: 1203RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Dec 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.  The disk is spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (04 Dec).  Quiet to unsettled
levels with a slight chance for isolated active periods are expected
on days two and three (05-06 Dec) as a recurrent coronal hole high
speed becomes geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Dec 072
Predicted   04 Dec-06 Dec  072/073/073
90 Day Mean        03 Dec 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Dec  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Dec  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec  005/005-007/008-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/20/10
Minor storm           01/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/05/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/30/20
Minor storm           01/15/10
Major-severe storm    01/05/05