:Product: 0202RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Feb 02 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 033 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Feb 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed within the last 24 hours. Region 1041 rotated off the sun within the last 24 hours. Region 1043 (N25W05) decayed to an alpha classification. There was a CME observed off the west limb at 01/1945Z. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low with only a slight chance for a C-class flare. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet. III. Event Probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 Feb 075 Predicted 03 Feb-05 Feb 075/078/080 90 Day Mean 02 Feb 077 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 Feb 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Feb 007/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Feb-05 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01