:Product: 0306RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Only low-level B-class
events were observed during the period. A filament near N17E23
disappeared between 06/0521Z and 06/0656Z. A CME was observed on the
east limb at approximately 06/0703Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (07 - 09 March).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (07 March). Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected on days two and three (08 - 09 March) in
response to the CME observed on 06 March.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Mar 078
Predicted   07 Mar-09 Mar  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        06 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  005/005-007/008-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/15/15
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/20/20
Minor storm           01/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01