:Product: 0322RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Mar 22 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 081 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Mar 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1056 (N19W21) was in a gradual decay phase with decreased spot count and area. No new regions were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for the next three days (23-25 March). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the next two days (23-24 March). Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day three (25 March) due to the arrival of a weak coronal hole high-speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 22 Mar 082 Predicted 23 Mar-25 Mar 082/082/083 90 Day Mean 22 Mar 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 21 Mar 000/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Mar 001/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/10 Minor storm 01/01/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01