:Product: 0609RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jun 10 1135 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1078 (S21W60) has
grown in size and magnetic complexity over the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class event from Region 1078 during
the next 3 days (10-12 June).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet with a chance for an isolated period of
unsettled conditions during the next 3 days (10-12 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jun 072
Predicted   10 Jun-12 Jun  072/072/070
90 Day Mean        09 Jun 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jun  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jun  003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/30
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01