:Product: 0616RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jun 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (17-19 June).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active at mid latitudes. Storm
conditions occurred at high latitude stations. Elevated solar wind
speeds near 550 km/s were observed throughout the day.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active on day 1 (17 June) due to
coronal hole effects. Conditions are expected to be quiet to
unsettled with the chance for an isolated active period on day 2 (18
June). Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day 3 (19 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Jun 072
Predicted   17 Jun-19 Jun  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        16 Jun 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun  009/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun  015/016
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  010/012-008/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                50/30/20
Minor storm           20/10/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                60/40/30
Minor storm           30/20/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/01