:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 07 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
very low for the next three days (08 - 10 July).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (08 July).  Quiet to unsettled,
with isolated active periods, are expected on days two and three (09
- 10 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream
forecasted to become geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Jul 074
Predicted   08 Jul-10 Jul  074/075/076
90 Day Mean        07 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jul  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jul  001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul  005/005-005/008-007/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jul-10 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01