:Product: 1125RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Nov 25 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 329 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Nov 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. New Region 1128 (S16E59) was numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind speed has remained steady at approximately 450 km/s throughout the period. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for days one and two (26-27 November). Day three (28 November) is expected to be predominately quiet with a slight chance for isolated unsettled periods. The increase in activity is forecast due to the CME observed on 24 November becoming geo-effective. III. Event Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 25 Nov 078 Predicted 26 Nov-28 Nov 078/079/080 90 Day Mean 25 Nov 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 24 Nov 003/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Nov 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov 005/005-005/005-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor storm 05/05/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor storm 05/05/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01