:Product: 1203RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Dec 03 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Dec 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1131 (N31E53) has grown in area but has remained magnetically classified as an Alpha group. Region 1130 (N12W67) has entered the decay phase with a decrease in areal coverage and sunspot number. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days (04-06 December). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (04-06 December). III. Event Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 Dec 087 Predicted 04 Dec-06 Dec 087/087/089 90 Day Mean 03 Dec 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 Dec 001/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Dec 001/002 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01