:Product: 0229RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Feb 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 060 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Feb 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low for the past 24 hours.
A series of CMEs were observed over the west limb at 29/0125Z,
29/0924Z, and 29/1212Z. Stereo-A imagery confirm the source regions
were behind the west limb and none of these are expected to be
geoeffective.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first day (01 Mar).  A slight increase
to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on the second day (02 Mar)
due to a small coronal hole.  Quiet levels are expected on the third
day (03 Mar).
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Feb 102
Predicted   01 Mar-03 Mar  100/100/100
90 Day Mean        29 Feb 127
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb  011/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Feb  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar  006/005-007/008-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/15
Minor storm           10/25/10
Major-severe storm    05/15/05