:Product: 0404RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Apr 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 095 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Apr 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity has been low for the past 24 hours. 
Region 1450 (N17W19) produced a C1 flare at 04/1627Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with C-class flares likely for the next three days (05-07
April).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (05 April) due to a
weak CME that was associated with the filament eruption that
occurred on 02 April.  Days two and three (06-07 April) are expected
to return to quiet levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Apr 102
Predicted   05 Apr-07 Apr  105/110/110
90 Day Mean        04 Apr 117
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Apr  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Apr  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Apr-07 Apr  007/008-006/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           25/15/15
Major-severe storm    15/05/05