:Product: 0514RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 134 Issued at 2200Z on 14 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1017 (N18E17) 
remains a Bxo beta spot group. This region was relatively quiet,
however, it has increased slightly in sunspot count.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (15 - 17
May).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 May-17 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 May 074
Predicted   15 May-17 May  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        14 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 May  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 May-17 May  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 May-17 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01