:Product: 0903RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Sep 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 246 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Sep 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless. A slow
CME off the west limb was first visible on SOHO C2 imagery at
03/0254Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet, with isolated periods of unsettled levels, on
day 1 (04 September). Predominantly quiet levels are expected on
days 2 and 3 (05-06 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Sep 069
Predicted   04 Sep-06 Sep  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        03 Sep 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Sep  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Sep  005/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Sep-06 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01