:Product: 1209RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 343 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Dec 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Todays activity
consisted of a single B2.3 x-ray event at 2017Z.  The source of the
event was a new region rotating around the east limb. Preliminary
observations indicate the region is a B type sunspot group
consisting of two small spots.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (10-12 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Dec 073
Predicted   10 Dec-12 Dec  074/075/077
90 Day Mean        09 Dec 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Dec  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Dec  001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01