:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2010 Feb 23 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 054 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Feb 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1049 (S18W78) produced isolated low-level B-class flares as it approached the west limb. A new Bxo/Beta spot group emerged midway through the period and was numbered as Region 1050. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low through the period. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 3 (24 - 26 February). III. Event Probabilities 24 Feb-26 Feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 23 Feb 084 Predicted 24 Feb-26 Feb 084/082/080 90 Day Mean 23 Feb 080 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 22 Feb 003/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Feb 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Feb-26 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01