:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 22 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 173 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1082 (N26W37)
produced isolated low-level B-class activity.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class
event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly reached high levels during the
period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for days one and two (23 - 24 June).  Field
activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with
isolated active periods, late on day three (25 June) due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream forecasted to become
geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Jun 073
Predicted   23 Jun-25 Jun  073/073/074
90 Day Mean        22 Jun 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jun  006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01