:Product: 1108RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Nov 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1121
(S19E20) produced two B1 flares during the period. Region 1121
decreased in areal coverage and was classified as an Ero spot group
with 12 spots and a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 1122
(N13W31) showed an increase in areal coverage and was classified as
a Dro-beta spot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low, with a chance for an M-class flare from Region 1121.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with an isolated active
period at high latitudes.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(09-11 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
Class M    50/50/50
Class X    05/05/05
Proton     05/05/05
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Nov 084
Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  085/085/087
90 Day Mean        08 Nov 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov  006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  005/006-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01